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位置: China

2008年2月28日星期四

The next president of the United States(AMERCA) can restore influence?

End of the cold war thoroughly smash the "superpower" and the concept of the Soviet Union lost in this common enemy, the European allies for the United States no longer has the lead. The next President of the United States must recognize the strength of the United States alone is limited, therefore, is to down-to-earth loss to the influence of the reconstruction, but to complete this mission is much more difficult than in the past. United States national security issues Fuleidekapulan columnist wrote recently in the media: the United States can not think of course, that others must be subordinate to their own. The White House will let the new faces was pleased with the traditional allies, but it is far from enough……



February 21, the United States Democratic Party presidential candidate Obama (left) and Hillary in the University of Texas at Austin to participate in the election debate. According to CNN the same day, the Democratic presidential candidate, from Illinois Senator Obama in the 5 to 12 this month at the Democratic Party defeated his opponent in the primaries overseas, from the New York State Senate Mr Clinton. Xinhua / Reuters

United States presidential campaign almost did not touch on foreign policy, this is not surprising. One reason is that the two parties and the candidates have no means of the United States to resolve the most pressing diplomatic issues: the war in Iraq (perhaps because there is no good solution).

However, a more important reason may be that no ambitious politicians referred to a disappointing reality: Talking about the status of the United States in the world, we are now less than one or two decades ago, we need to develop new diplomatic policy, we should not only recognize this reality, but also to this reality-based.

President Bush's foolish influence of the United States has accelerated the decline, but the decline is not at Bush. What is ironic is that, from the end of the last century collapse of the Soviet Union, the Cold War victory belongs to us that moment on, the decline will begin. Some people asserted that the United States is now "the world's sole superpower." But in fact, the end of the Cold War and thoroughly smash the "superpower" concept.

In the previous 50 years, we have half of the world's local influence, not only because of the strength of the United States, but also because we have a common enemy. Allies often make concessions in the interests of the United States, even if it's detrimental to their own interests, pressing harder and harder because of the threat posed by the Russian bear greater. But when the bear demise of this, the Union is also casual. Union sometimes in many countries will continue to listen to our leadership, but they also believe that, to be free to follow our own path, not too concerned about Washington's preferences.

In this way, the end of the Cold War to exert influence in the world has become even more difficult. Can no longer be taken for granted that allies will stand his side must find ways to befriend them. The leading position of the United States may still be essential and attention, but now the United States must strive for this position.

Bush came to power, he and senior aides around this ignorant. (Fair to say that, a few people did not know.) They think, and from their practices, the authority of the United States seems to be not only very clear, but supreme, not challenge, it seems that the United States President Zhouzhou brows, the tyrant to tremble; sent a small group of American soldiers, we can rebuild the world.

Therefore, in the seven years since most of the time, the United States around the world leader in the loose, is not whether they will act on what kind of impact. Increasingly alienated allies, and enemies furious, and sandwiched in the middle of the two countries - in particular those with a large number of important national resource - their own transactions, and in the United States outside the control of the establishment of their own network.

Countries (including the leaders is not that anti-American countries) found through experience or observation, and Washington will not oppose to their own incurred losses. Germany and France together against the United Nations Security Council adopted resolution against Iraq. In doing so after Germany, and not much of anything. Turkish Parliament passed a vote, opposed to the U.S. military to use Turkish soil to attack Iraq from the north, Turkey is fine. Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak warned Bush not to trample on human rights, human rights abuses continue, but Egypt is not only all right, and even Bush in a recent visit to the Middle East, Mubarak also praised the implementation of a democratic system.

At the same time, the dollar's exchange rate dropped sharply. Although the American military is still the world's most powerful, but the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan has been struggling to cope with the army, and in the Cold War period, such a war can only be described as "small-scale war."

Reconstruction can be the next President of the United States to influence, but he and she could not accomplish this mission alone. The United States needs to rebuild Union, which is more difficult than in the past.

In the presidential election debate, the Republican candidates almost never mention the word allies. Most of the Republican candidates approach seems to indicate that they simply do not care about the outside world how we look at. (In this sense, they are ignored Bush himself accept the lessons of late.) All the candidate of the Democratic Party are calling for improving its relations with its allies, adopting a more diplomatic approach. This very popular. But whether out of political considerations or naive because they did not truly tell the difficulty of doing so.

If Democrats elected president, almost certainly the United States and Iran will hold an open and direct dialogue. Able to prove that this is a good idea for many. Often, however, did not have an implicit assumption that the dialogue will dispel suspicion alone to solve the problem. However, in many circumstances, the fundamental interests of the two countries is essential irreconcilable, but no one can make concessions to each other.

For example, if the next president wants Iran to abandon its uranium enrichment activities, then he or she is willing to do any good to Iran? In order to achieve greater benefits, he or she was willing to give up or sacrifice the interests of smaller What? Perhaps no one can give to the President of the United States the greatest benefits for the Iranians, but not enough to allow them to give up their nuclear program, in the work done by.

If that is the case, then the next president may (and, like Bush) to convene Sunni leaders in the Middle East, the establishment of an anti-Iranian coalition. But these leaders need the United States to give them some benefits, and this will take against Iran Union will inevitably bring about risks. In order to encourage neighboring Iran in the Persian Gulf countries to join in this action, will be the next president and what they have done a deal? Bush at the last moment realized that the Union is not white, largely speaking, it is precisely because aware of this, makes Bush started talking about the topic of the Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement, because in the eyes of many Arab leaders, it is the premise of cooperation with the United States.

It was always wrong to think that the West in the Cold War marked the victory of "The End of History." In fact, history has reproducibility, and vehement in the way they Xiong Meng.

The United States has occurred change in the structure, and is more like a normal country: a world power, but not a superpower. This is the Americans are not familiar with the territory. For half a century, we have a structure close to the world's superpower to play the role. Now, we did not in a big bosses of the world plays a role in the upper managers, the world has not become a multi-polar world, nor to the development of non-government chaos.

Bush affirmed his visit to the Middle East during the period of such Moshenggan. Although he tried by every means to befriend and endless flattery and the end to no avail.If we continue to think that the United States dominates the agenda (Bush obviously think so from the bottom of my heart), then they will also face similar situation is disappointing. The next president must be down-to-earth, and to achieve mutual agreement.

Now is not the dawn of the United States, but it did not Dusk. Under the president of the United States facing a major challenge is that in this new world of fragmentation of the United States forces in the face of limited At the same time, the United States resumed the influence and status. The attendant a greater political challenge will be, openly acknowledging that our strength is limited.

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